Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Groningen win it was 2-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 21.89% ( | 21.96% ( | 56.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.29% ( | 40.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.91% ( | 63.09% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( | 32.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.3% ( | 68.7% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( | 14.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.75% ( | 42.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 5.76% ( 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 2-0 @ 2.97% ( 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 3-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 21.89% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0-0 @ 4.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0-2 @ 8.71% ( 1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0-3 @ 5.63% ( 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 1-4 @ 3.1% ( 0-4 @ 2.73% ( 2-4 @ 1.75% ( 1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0-5 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 56.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
| 2 | Ajax | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 55 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 53 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 47 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 32 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 24 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 23 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 21 |
| 17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 49 | -29 | 16 |
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