Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 48.71% ( | 24.01% ( | 27.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.28% ( | 44.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.92% ( | 67.08% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( | 18.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.34% ( | 49.66% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( | 29.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.93% ( | 66.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 4-2 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.71% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
| 2 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 33 | 38 | 56 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 |
| 17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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