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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for San Jose Earthquakes.