Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 54.8%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.92%) and 3-1 (6.64%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.
