Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 56.18%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
