Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
45.53% | 22.38% | 32.08% |
Both teams to score 66.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.86% | 34.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.97% | 56.02% |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.4% | 15.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.41% | 44.58% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.42% | 21.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.33% | 54.67% |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 8.91% 1-0 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-2 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-3 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.06% Total : 45.53% | 1-1 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 6.83% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 2.16% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-1 @ 5.16% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.56% Total : 32.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 59 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 49 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 45 |
6 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 45 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 42 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 38 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 59 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 49 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 45 |
6 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 45 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 42 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 38 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 27 |