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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 2, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls
Giakoumakis (8')
Araujo (34'), Robinson (45+4'), Giakoumakis (55'), Rossetto (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Burke (9'), Duncan (42'), Casseres Jr (45+1'), Reyes (45+6'), Nealis (55'), Harper (90+5')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 6-1 Atlanta
Saturday, March 25 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 25 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-0 New York Red Bulls

We are expecting Atlanta to respond to the heavy defeat they suffered against Columbus, and the Five Stripes are still unbeaten on home soil, so we think that they will have enough to edge this contest. On the contrary, New York are yet to win on their travels, and despite the defeat last week, Atlanta have started the season in an impressive manner.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.94% (-2.368 -2.37) 23.43% (0.732 0.73) 23.63% (1.641 1.64)
Both teams to score 55.34% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.65% (-1.42 -1.42)45.36% (1.426 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31% (-1.376 -1.38)67.69% (1.379 1.38)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-1.341 -1.34)17.1% (1.345 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (-2.428 -2.43)47.3% (2.433 2.43)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76% (0.68899999999999 0.69)33.24% (-0.684 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (0.748 0.75)69.86% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 52.94%
    New York Red Bulls 23.63%
    Draw 23.43%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.162 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.329 -0.33)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.403 -0.4)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.27 -0.27)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.293 -0.29)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 52.94%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.339 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.483 0.48)
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.318 0.32)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.325 0.33)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 23.63%

How you voted: Atlanta vs NY Red Bulls

Atlanta United
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
New York Red Bulls
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Martinez (90+5')
Gutman (80')
Morgan (11'), Tolkin (15')
Duncan (45+4'), Klimala (66'), Coronel (87')
Jul 1, 2022 1am
NY Red Bulls
2-1
Atlanta
Morgan (83' pen.), Ngoma (89')
Casseres Jr (28'), Long (42'), Edwards (51')
Martinez (75')
Sejdic (22'), Ibarra (45+3'), Rios Novo (82')
Nov 3, 2021 11.30pm
NY Red Bulls
0-0
Atlanta

Klimala (52'), Nealis (90+1')

Araujo (11'), Walkes (90+1')
Jun 27, 2021 8.30pm
Atlanta
0-0
NY Red Bulls

Sosa (65'), Franco (90+5')

Edwards (22'), Davis (69'), Tolkin (85'), Tarek (86')
Oct 10, 2020 11pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1New England RevolutionNew England127321911824
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati117311512324
3Nashville SCNashville12543157819
4Atlanta UnitedAtlanta125342121018
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia115241714317
6Columbus Crew114342114715
7DC United124351616015
8Inter MiamiInter Miami115061212015
9New York City FCNY City124351415-115
10Orlando City114341214-215
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC124351622-615
12CF MontrealMontreal115061117-615
13Chicago Fire113531416-214
14New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls12264811-312
15Toronto122641317-412

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Seattle SoundersSeattle127231991023
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles106312081221
3St Louis City126242213920
4Dallas125431311219
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes115331514118
6Portland TimbersPortland124351819-115
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver113531512314
8Houston DynamoHouston10424109114
9Colorado RapidsColorado122641014-412
10Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd113351014-412
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake113261020-1011
12Austin FCAustin112451017-710
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas12237816-89
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10136817-96

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