Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
