Major League Soccer | Gameweek 5
May 8, 2021 at 6pm UK
Red Bull Arena
NY Red Bulls
2 - 0
Toronto
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Toronto |
| 39.71% | 26.54% | 33.75% |
| Both teams to score 52.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
