Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 39.65% ( | 25.5% ( | 34.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.88% ( | 48.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.72% ( | 70.28% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( | 23.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.78% ( | 58.22% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( | 26.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.13% ( | 61.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.65% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 82 | 47 | 35 | 101 |
| P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 101 | 35 | 66 | 98 |
| P | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 81 | 37 | 44 | 96 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 86 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 81 |
| 6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
| 7 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 76 |
| 8 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 70 |
| 9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 |
| 10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 62 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 62 |
| 12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 59 |
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 58 |
| 14 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 56 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 56 |
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 54 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 53 |
| 18 | Port Vale | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 49 |
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
| 20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 46 |
| R | MK Dons | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 45 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 44 |
| R | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 44 |
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 89 | -58 | 27 |
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