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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Fleetwood Town
Bolton
2 - 0
Fleetwood
Omochere (18' og.), Dempsey (78')
Williams (58'), Lee (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vela (65'), Warrington (67'), Marriott (75')
Stockley (58')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Fleetwood Town

Bolton will certainly be disappointed by their midweek defeat, while Fleetwood arrive without pressure and in a positive run of form, but with the need for three points to remain in the top six, we back Evatt's side to just get over the line on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
53.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 25.42% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 21.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)55.81% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (0.012 0.01)76.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (0.019000000000005 0.02)20.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36% (0.029000000000003 0.03)53.64% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)41.49% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.01% (-0.012 -0.01)77.99% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 53.43%
    Fleetwood Town 21.14%
    Draw 25.41%
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 13.57%
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.43%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 21.14%

How you voted: Bolton vs Fleetwood

Bolton Wanderers
100%
Draw
0.0%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Fleetwood
1-2
Bolton
Bradley (85'), Afolayan (90+5')
Morley (45')
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Bolton
4-2
Fleetwood
Charles (37', 86'), John (53'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+6')
Baggley (17'), Garner (79')
Boyle (42'), Garner (82'), Pilkington (90+2')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Fleetwood
3-0
Bolton
Garner (6'), Biggins (77', 79')
Hayes (26'), McLaughlin (35')

Santos (73')
Nov 30, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Bolton
1-0
Fleetwood
Lee (34')

Biggins (54'), Clark (56'), Teale (63')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
RMorecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

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