League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Exeter
0 - 1
Bolton
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Exeter City 1-1 Bolton Wanderers
Exeter's recent home form has been excellent, and this has the potential to be a very tough game for Bolton, who are not in the best of form in the league. It would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away win, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in Devon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
35.26% ( -0.03) | 25.89% ( 0) | 38.84% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.49% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
