Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Ipswich Town | 
| 33.49% (  0.01) | 26.18% (  0.01) | 40.33% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 53.21% (  -0.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.71% (  -0.04) | 51.28% (  0.04) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.88% (  -0.04) | 73.11% (  0.04) | 
| Bolton Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.99% (  -0.02) | 29% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.09% (  -0.02) | 64.9% (  0.02) | 
| Ipswich Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.95% (  -0.03) | 25.04% (  0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.28% (  -0.04) | 59.71% (  0.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Ipswich Town | 
| 1-0 @ 8.99% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 5.56% (  0) 3-1 @ 3.18% (  -0) 3-0 @ 2.3% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.2% (  -0) 4-1 @ 0.98% (  -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.49% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.26% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 5.33% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% (  -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 10.05% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 8.62% (  -0) 0-2 @ 6.96% (  0) 1-3 @ 3.98% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.21% (  -0) 2-3 @ 2.46% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% (  -0) 0-4 @ 1.11% (  -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 40.32% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 92 | 
| 2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 91 | 
| 3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 90 | 
| 4 | Barnsley | 43 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 85 | 
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 75 | 
| 6 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 75 | 
| 7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 73 | 
| 8 | Portsmouth | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 68 | 
| 9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 68 | 
| 10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 43 | 13 | 20 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 59 | 
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 58 | 
| 12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 57 | 
| 13 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 56 | 
| 14 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 53 | 
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 52 | 
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 50 | 
| 17 | Port Vale | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 49 | 
| 18 | Burton Albion | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 55 | 78 | -23 | 49 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | 
| 20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 43 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 41 | 
| 21 | Morecambe | 44 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 41 | 
| 22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 66 | -29 | 40 | 
| 23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 36 | 74 | -38 | 38 | 
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 31 | 84 | -53 | 27 | 
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