MX23RW : Wednesday, May 10 21:42:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Carrick
1 - 3
Glenavon
Macuilaitis (62')
Tilney (34'), Stewart (65'), Mitchell (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doyle (32'), Fitzpatrick (50'), Henderson (90+4')
Kerr (27')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Glenavon.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 3-1 Carrick
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-1 Glenavon
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawGlenavon
27.92% (0.213 0.21) 26% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 46.08% (-0.23 -0.23)
Both teams to score 51.21% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (0.035000000000004 0.04)52.69% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03)74.33% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (0.188 0.19)33.64% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (0.202 0.2)70.29% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)22.83% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.45% (-0.136 -0.14)56.55% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 27.92%
    Glenavon 46.08%
    Draw 25.99%
Carrick RangersDrawGlenavon
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.73% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.44% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 27.92%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 11.34% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.38% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 46.08%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
gameweek 26
Carrick
1-1
Glenavon
Birney (70' og.)
Cherry (9')
Wallace (88')
Snoddy (19'), Garrett (58'), O'Connor (75'), O'Connor (77'), Hamilton (89')
Malone (39')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
Glenavon
4-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (13'), Bradley (28'), Malone (82'), Snoddy (90+1')
Mitchell (15'), Anderson (49')
McGuckin (38')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 5
Glenavon
2-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (10'), McCloskey (23')
(11'), (50')
Garrett (59')
Mitchell (18'), Allen (64')
Ervin (55'), Cushley (66')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Carrick
0-1
Glenavon

Surgenor (31'), Cushley (41'), Carson (81'), Glendinning (90')
O'Connor (88')
Wallace (47'), Campbell (90')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 31
Glenavon
2-0
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (66'), Singleton (79')
McCloskey (21'), O'Connor (60'), Singleton (71')

Ervin (21'), Chambers (90'), Kelly (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLarneLarne33227457183973
2LinfieldLinfield33215770254568
3CliftonvilleCliftonville33206761412066
4GlentoranGlentoran33204968244464
5CrusadersCrusaders33188765372862
6ColeraineColeraine33177953302358
7GlenavonGlenavon33118145057-741
8Carrick RangersCarrick33114184165-2437
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena3395193049-1932
10Newry City AFC3372243166-3523
11Dungannon SwiftsDungannon3372242276-5423
RPortadownPortadown3344252383-6016

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