Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.