Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.