Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 17.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.