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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leipzig logo
Bayern
1 - 3
RB Leipzig
Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 6-0 Schalke
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 RB Leipzig

 All but ending the closest Bundesliga title race in 13 years, Bayern are set to sweep aside Leipzig; leaving the pressure piled on Dortmund. At their fluent best against Schalke, the champions may be stepping up in class this week, but such are their attacking riches they can tame the Red Bulls once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
66.88% (-0.304 -0.3) 16.77% (0.124 0.12) 16.34% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 67.5% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.72% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)24.28% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.03% (-0.362 -0.36)43.96% (0.361 0.36)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.13% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)6.87% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.73% (-0.337 -0.34)25.26% (0.335 0.34)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)27.52% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 66.88%
    RB Leipzig 16.34%
    Draw 16.77%
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.78% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.23% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 5.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 3.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.8% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 66.88%
1-1 @ 6.53% (0.075 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.89% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.77%
1-2 @ 4.21% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 2.44% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 16.34%

How you voted: Bayern vs RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich
71.7%
Draw
17.4%
RB Leipzig
10.9%
92
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
gameweek 16
RB Leipzig
1-1
Bayern
Halstenberg (52')
Schlager (41'), Laimer (71'), Rose (84')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (37')
Musiala (35'), Goretzka (52'), Upamecano (66')
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 21
Bayern
3-2
RB Leipzig
Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
1-4
Bayern
Laimer (58')
Lewandowski (12' pen.), Musiala (47'), Sane (54'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+2')
Apr 3, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
0-1
Bayern

Mukiele (26'), Sabitzer (37'), Upamecano (61')
Goretzka (38')
Kimmich (33'), Hernandez (81')
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
> Bundesliga Full Table
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