Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.