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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 41%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.15%) and 1-3 (5.03%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
37.01% | 22% | 41% |
Both teams to score 69.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.28% | 30.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.94% | 52.06% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.42% | 17.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.85% | 48.15% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.07% | 15.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.8% | 45.21% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 7.78% 1-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 4.51% 2-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.8% 4-3 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.11% Total : 37.01% | 1-1 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 7.14% 0-0 @ 2.8% 3-3 @ 2.53% Other @ 0.58% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-1 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 4.37% 0-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.33% 3-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.81% Total : 41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 66 | 39 | 27 | 60 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 59 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 55 |
4 | Freiburg | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 53 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 51 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 47 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 45 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 43 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 42 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 36 |
11 | FC Koln | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 30 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 29 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 27 |
16 | Stuttgart | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 25 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 24 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 22 |
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