| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 34 | -18 | 33 |
| 16 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | -34 | 33 |
| 17 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | -26 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.14%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 10.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 3-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 74.14% | 15.14% | 10.71% |
| Both teams to score 56.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.65% | 30.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.39% | 51.61% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.04% | 6.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.48% | 25.51% |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.6% | 39.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.91% | 76.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 2-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 8.06% 1-0 @ 7.31% 4-0 @ 5.77% 4-1 @ 5.37% 3-2 @ 3.76% 5-0 @ 3.07% 5-1 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 2.5% 6-0 @ 1.37% 5-2 @ 1.33% 6-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 4% Total : 74.14% | 1-1 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 4.23% 0-0 @ 2.74% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.14% | 1-2 @ 3.17% 0-1 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-2 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.5% Total : 10.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 66 | 22 | 44 | 49 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 23 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 49 |
| 3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 42 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 38 |
| 7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 33 |
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 27 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 27 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 20 |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 19 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 19 |
| 17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 19 |
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 56 | -32 | 19 |
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