Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
32.96% (![]() | 24.83% (![]() | 42.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.46% (![]() | 45.54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.14% (![]() | 67.86% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.46% (![]() | 26.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.26% (![]() | 61.74% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% (![]() | 21.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.32% (![]() | 54.68% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 7.73% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.6% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 11.65% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.93% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.78% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 52 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 42 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 32 |
7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
10 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 28 |
11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 27 |
12 | Macarthur | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 26 |
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