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League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Accrington Stanley
Bolton
0 - 1
Accrington
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hamilton (42')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Accrington Stanley

Another slender victory is expected for the playoff chasers, who hope one goal is enough to secure maximum points against a side that have kept a sole clean sheet in their last 11 games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawAccrington Stanley
71.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 17.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 10.99% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.7% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.87% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)43.13% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.47% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)65.53% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16% (0.0040000000000049 0)10.84% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)34.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.37% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)47.63% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)82.96% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 71.12%
    Accrington Stanley 10.99%
    Draw 17.89%
Bolton WanderersDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 9.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.24% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 71.12%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.89%
0-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 10.99%

How you voted: Bolton vs Accrington

Bolton Wanderers
90.3%
Draw
6.5%
Accrington Stanley
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals
Accrington
0-2
Bolton

Presley (21'), Coyle (41')
McConville (22')
Kachunga (82'), Morley (84')
Trafford (52'), Morley (64')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Accrington
2-3
Bolton
Whalley (8'), Johnston (48' og.)
Clark (42')
Rodgers (56' og.), Lee (71'), Afolayan (75')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
gameweek 44
Bolton
3-1
Accrington
Afolayan (42'), Dadi Bodvarsson (69', 89')
Afolayan (29'), John (45+3'), Amaechi (65'), Williams (70')
Bagueloc'rich (50')
Clark (41'), McConville (45+3'), Bagueloc'rich (45+5'), Conneely (76')
Longelo-Mbule (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 22
Accrington
1-0
Bolton
Leigh (20')
Amankwah (45'), Coyle (50'), Savin (63')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
gameweek 36
Bolton
0-0
Accrington

Bryan (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
RMorecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

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