Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 17.09% ( | 21.03% ( | 61.88% |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( | 43.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( | 66.02% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.08% ( | 38.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.35% ( | 75.64% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.43% ( | 13.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.35% ( | 40.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 1-0 @ 4.98% ( 2-1 @ 4.7% ( 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 1.48% ( 3-2 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 17.09% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.03% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0-2 @ 10.53% ( 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0-3 @ 7.02% ( 1-3 @ 6.62% ( 0-4 @ 3.51% ( 1-4 @ 3.31% ( 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0-5 @ 1.4% ( 1-5 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3% Total : 61.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 24 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 20 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
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