Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 61.72% ( | 20.49% ( | 17.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60% ( | 40% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.64% ( | 62.36% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.53% ( | 12.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.57% ( | 38.43% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% ( | 35.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.29% ( | 72.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 3-0 @ 6.74% ( 4-1 @ 3.59% ( 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 4-0 @ 3.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 5-1 @ 1.5% ( 5-0 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 3.69% Total : 61.72% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 1-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 17.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 49 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 38 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 38 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 32 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 29 |
| 8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 29 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
| 11 | Macarthur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 25 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
