Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
39.92% (![]() | 24.68% (![]() | 35.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.75% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.69% (![]() | 44.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.32% (![]() | 66.68% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% (![]() | 22.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.45% (![]() | 55.55% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.48% (![]() | 24.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.01% (![]() | 58.99% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 8.67% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.92% | 1-1 @ 11.51% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.09% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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