Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 51.13% ( | 22.89% ( | 25.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.34% ( | 40.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.96% ( | 63.04% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% ( | 16.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.62% ( | 45.38% ( |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( | 28.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.34% ( | 64.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 3-0 @ 4.72% ( 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 5-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.55% Total : 51.13% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 25.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 49 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 38 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 38 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 32 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 29 |
| 8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 29 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
| 11 | Macarthur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 25 |
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