Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
36.56% (![]() | 25.25% (![]() | 38.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.85% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.18% (![]() | 46.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.93% (![]() | 69.07% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% (![]() | 25.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.29% (![]() | 59.71% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% (![]() | 24.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.53% (![]() | 58.47% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
1-0 @ 8.38% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.24% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.56% | 1-1 @ 11.89% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.59% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 48 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 41 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 35 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 31 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 29 |
7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 26 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 26 |
11 | Macarthur | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 26 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 25 |
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