Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 40.1% ( | 24.13% ( | 35.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.34% ( | 41.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.94% ( | 64.06% ( |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( | 20.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.35% ( | 53.65% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( | 23.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.05% ( | 56.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 3-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 24 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 20 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
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