Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
49.63% (![]() | 23.3% (![]() | 27.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.31% (![]() | 41.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.91% (![]() | 64.08% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.04% (![]() | 16.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.95% (![]() | 47.04% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.46% (![]() | 28.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% (![]() | 64.32% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.55% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.59% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.62% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 4.09% Total : 49.63% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 6.75% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 40 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 34 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 24 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 23 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 |
11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 20 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
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