Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
