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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Jan 2, 2021 at 6.05am UK at WIN Stadium
Wellington
1 - 2
Sydney FC
Muratovic (45+1')
Payne (44'), Laws (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nieuwenhof (29'), Brattan (55')
Warland (5'), Nieuwenhof (25'), Caceres (36'), Buhagiar (61'), Brattan (66')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sydney FC in this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawSydney FC
37.33%25.11%37.56%
Both teams to score 57.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84%46.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54%68.45%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68%24.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3%58.7%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81%24.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48%58.52%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 37.33%
    Sydney FC 37.56%
    Draw 25.11%
Wellington PhoenixDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 8.35%
1-0 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 5.88%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 0.99%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 37.33%
1-1 @ 11.8%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.88%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.11%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 8.35%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 0.99%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 37.56%

How you voted: Wellington vs Sydney FC

Wellington Phoenix
24.4%
Draw
9.8%
Sydney FC
65.9%
41
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2020 10.30am
Sydney FC
3-1
Wellington
Le Fondre (76' pen.), Buhagiar (88', 90')
Baumjohann (85')
Piscopo (66' pen.)
Rufer (38'), Sotirio (62')
Dec 21, 2019 3.45am
Wellington
2-2
Sydney FC
Piscopo (25'), Davila (37')
DeVere (91')
Le Fondre (14'), Taylor (56' og.)
Caceres (45'), Grant (50'), Brattan (67')
Oct 20, 2019 8am
Sydney FC
2-1
Wellington
O'Neill (17'), Grant (77')
O'Neill (51'), Retre (84'), Caceres (92')
Davila (69')
Steinmann (37'), Piscopo (89')
Cacace (81')
Feb 23, 2019 6.35am
Wellington
0-1
Sydney FC

Durante (14'), Lowry (78'), Rufer (94')
Le Fondre (65' pen.)
Le Fondre (79'), Brosque (86'), O'Neill (86')
Jan 23, 2019 6.35am
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