

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 48.72% ( | 23.11% ( | 28.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.04% ( | 39.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.68% ( | 62.32% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( | 16.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.51% ( | 46.49% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( | 26.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.82% ( | 62.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.38% Total : 48.72% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0-0 @ 4.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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