Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.