Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 65.89% ( | 19.67% ( | 14.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.26% ( | 42.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.86% ( | 65.14% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% ( | 12.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.29% ( | 37.71% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.18% ( | 41.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.72% ( | 78.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 3-0 @ 7.94% ( 3-1 @ 6.92% ( 4-0 @ 4.19% ( 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 5-0 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 5-1 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 65.87% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 2-2 @ 4.29% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.67% | 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 1-2 @ 4.07% ( 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 1-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 1.6% Total : 14.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 24 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
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