Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 36.84% ( | 25.96% ( | 37.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50% ( | 49.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.02% ( | 71.97% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.64% ( | 26.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.49% ( | 61.5% ( |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( | 26.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.76% ( | 61.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 4-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.84% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0-2 @ 6.2% ( 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 42 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 109 | 41 | 68 | 103 |
| 2 | Notts County | 43 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 108 | 39 | 69 | 100 |
| 3 | Woking | 42 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 76 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 69 | 47 | 22 | 75 |
| 5 | Barnet | 42 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 69 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 42 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 66 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 43 | 19 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 53 | 0 | 65 |
| 8 | Bromley | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 63 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 60 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 58 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 56 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 56 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 53 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 41 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 60 | 57 | 3 | 52 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 52 |
| 16 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 42 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | York City | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 49 |
| 18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 49 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 42 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 60 | 86 | -26 | 49 |
| 20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 45 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 43 |
| 22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 42 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 39 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 46 | 80 | -34 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 43 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 43 | 92 | -49 | 25 |
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