| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Halifax Town | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Oldham Athletic | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Bromley | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Maidstone United | 8 | -6 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 41.47% ( | 24.61% ( | 33.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.72% ( | 44.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( | 66.66% ( |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( | 21.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.61% ( | 54.39% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( | 25.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.84% ( | 60.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.47% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 37 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 95 | 34 | 61 | 91 |
| 2 | Notts County | 37 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 93 | 34 | 59 | 87 |
| 3 | Woking | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 68 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Eastleigh | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 60 |
| 6 | Barnet | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 59 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 58 |
| 8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 55 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 52 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 51 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 48 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 44 |
| 15 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 43 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 42 |
| 17 | York City | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 39 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 35 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
| 20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 81 | -30 | 37 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 42 | 66 | -24 | 30 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 30 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 79 | -40 | 24 |
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