

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 88.68%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 3.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.57%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Volendam | 
| 88.68% ( | 7.78% ( | 3.55% ( | 
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 78.47% ( | 21.53% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 59.75% ( | 40.25% ( | 
| Feyenoord Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 97.01% ( | 2.99% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 86.5% ( | 13.5% ( | 
| FC Volendam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 47.98% ( | 52.02% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.98% ( | 86.02% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Volendam | 
| 3-0 @ 11.21% ( 4-0 @ 9.83% ( 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 5-0 @ 6.9% ( 4-1 @ 6.43% ( 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 5-1 @ 4.51% ( 6-0 @ 4.04% ( 6-1 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 7-0 @ 2.02% ( 5-2 @ 1.47% ( 7-1 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 5.16% Total : 88.67%  | 1-1 @ 3.57% ( 2-2 @ 2.05% ( 0-0 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 7.78%  | 1-2 @ 1.17% ( 0-1 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.36% Total : 3.55%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 55 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | 
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 38 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 | 
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 | 
| 13 | Vitesse | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 31 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 | 
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 | 
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 28 | 
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 | 
| R | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 | 
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