Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Emmen |
| 34.36% ( | 25.32% ( | 40.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.61% ( | 47.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.39% ( | 69.61% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( | 26.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.21% ( | 61.79% ( |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% ( | 23.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.74% ( | 57.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Emmen |
| 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 2-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 4-1 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.37% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0-3 @ 3.19% ( 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 2-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Ajax | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 79 | 29 | 50 | 62 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 78 | 35 | 43 | 62 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 32 | 24 | 57 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 51 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 45 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 38 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 35 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 33 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 32 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 30 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 27 |
| 17 | Groningen | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 16 |
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