Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RKC Waalwijk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RKC Waalwijk.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Emmen | 
| 44.67% (  0.07) | 24.29% (  0) | 31.04% (  -0.07) | 
| Both teams to score 58.68% (  -0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.22% (  -0.04) | 43.78% (  0.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.83% (  -0.04) | 66.17% (  0.05) | 
| RKC Waalwijk Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.25% (  0.01) | 19.75% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.21% (  0.02) | 51.79% (  -0.01) | 
| Emmen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.12% (  -0.06) | 26.88% (  0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.8% (  -0.08) | 62.2% (  0.09) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Emmen | 
| 2-1 @ 9.18% (  0.01) 1-0 @ 8.61% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 6.98% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 4.96% (  0) 3-0 @ 3.78% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% (  -0) 4-1 @ 2.01% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.53% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.32% (  -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 44.67% | 1-1 @ 11.31% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.31% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% (  -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.43% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.98% (  0) 0-2 @ 4.58% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.25% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.64% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.04% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 24 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 | 
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 66 | 23 | 43 | 52 | 
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 49 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 43 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 37 | 
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 | 
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 26 | 
| 13 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 23 | 
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 21 | 
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 | 
| 17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 | 
| 18 | Cambuur | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 16 | 
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