Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Ajax |
| 19.42% ( | 20.34% ( | 60.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.47% ( | 36.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.32% ( | 58.68% ( |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( | 32.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.38% ( | 68.62% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.18% ( | 11.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.95% ( | 37.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 5.22% ( 1-0 @ 4.31% ( 2-0 @ 2.45% ( 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 3-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.42% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.34% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 1-3 @ 7% ( 0-3 @ 6.17% ( 2-3 @ 3.97% ( 1-4 @ 3.74% ( 0-4 @ 3.29% ( 2-4 @ 2.12% ( 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0-5 @ 1.41% ( 2-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 60.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Ajax | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 79 | 29 | 50 | 62 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 78 | 35 | 43 | 62 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 32 | 24 | 57 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 51 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 45 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 35 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 32 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 34 | 61 | -27 | 27 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 27 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 25 |
| 17 | Groningen | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 29 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 16 |
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