Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 57.5% ( | 22.29% ( | 20.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.63% ( | 44.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.25% ( | 66.75% ( |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.83% ( | 15.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.21% ( | 43.79% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.09% ( | 35.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.31% ( | 72.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 2.94% ( 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 5-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 57.5% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.28% | 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Ajax | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 79 | 29 | 50 | 62 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 78 | 35 | 43 | 62 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 32 | 24 | 57 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 51 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 45 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 38 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 35 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 33 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 32 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 30 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 27 |
| 17 | Groningen | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 16 |
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