| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 53.32% ( | 25.8% ( | 20.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.54% ( | 57.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.74% ( | 78.26% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( | 21.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.25% ( | 54.75% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.27% ( | 42.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.94% ( | 79.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 14.15% ( 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 3-2 @ 2% ( 4-1 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.32% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0-0 @ 9.24% ( 2-2 @ 3.92% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 40 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
| 5 | Ajax | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 34 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 33 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 30 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 23 |
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 19 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 19 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 15 |
| 16 | FC VolendamVolendam | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 13 |
| 17 | Cambuur | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 12 |
| 18 | Groningen | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
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