| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 | 
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 | 
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 | 
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 | 
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | AZ Alkmaar | 
| 37.86% | 24.12% | 38.02% | 
| Both teams to score 61.04% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.57% | 41.43% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.17% | 63.83% | 
| Vitesse Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.09% | 21.91% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.82% | 55.18% | 
| AZ Alkmaar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.17% | 21.83% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.95% | 55.05% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Vitesse | Draw | AZ Alkmaar | 
| 2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 7.26% 2-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.86% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-1 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.02% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 
| 3 | FC Twente | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 
| 4 | Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 
| 6 | Heerenveen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 
| 7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 
| 9 | Heracles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | 
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 
| 12 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 | 
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 
| 14 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | 
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 | 
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 | 
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 | 
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
