| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 62.72% ( | 21.3% ( | 15.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( | 46.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% ( | 69.09% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% ( | 14.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.84% ( | 42.16% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.75% ( | 42.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.35% ( | 78.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 11.75% ( 2-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 3-0 @ 7.4% ( 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 5-1 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 62.71% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.24% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0-2 @ 2.25% ( 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.67% Total : 15.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 40 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
| 5 | Ajax | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 34 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 33 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 30 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 23 |
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 19 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 19 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 15 |
| 16 | FC VolendamVolendam | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 13 |
| 17 | Cambuur | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 12 |
| 18 | Groningen | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
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