

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
| 17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
| 30.62% ( | 25.84% ( | 43.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.24% ( | 50.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.35% ( | 72.65% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( | 30.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.1% ( | 66.91% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( | 23.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.91% ( | 57.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 3-0 @ 1.96% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0-2 @ 7.59% ( 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0-3 @ 3.7% ( 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 2-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 55 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 |
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