

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
| 17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 72.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 10.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 72.41% | 16.63% | 10.96% |
| Both teams to score 51.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% | 37.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.56% | 59.44% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.02% | 8.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.38% | 30.61% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.22% | 43.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.06% | 79.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 11.41% 1-0 @ 9.47% 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-0 @ 9.18% 3-1 @ 7.58% 4-0 @ 5.53% 4-1 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 3.13% 5-0 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.89% 6-0 @ 1.07% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.36% Total : 72.4% | 1-1 @ 7.83% 0-0 @ 3.93% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.98% Total : 16.63% | 0-1 @ 3.25% 1-2 @ 3.23% 0-2 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.07% Total : 10.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
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