Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
