

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 63.19% ( | 20.97% ( | 15.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.36% ( | 45.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( | 67.96% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.2% ( | 13.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.87% ( | 41.13% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.31% ( | 41.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.83% ( | 78.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 5-0 @ 1.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 5-1 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 63.18% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.32% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.97% | 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.72% Total : 15.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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