

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic | 
| 57.15% ( | 21.83% ( | 21.02% ( | 
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.78% ( | 41.21% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.39% ( | 63.61% ( | 
| Falkirk Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.77% ( | 14.22% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.03% ( | 41.96% ( | 
| Alloa Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.69% ( | 33.31% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.07% ( | 69.92% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic | 
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 3-0 @ 5.86% ( 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 5-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 57.15%  | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.82%  | 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 2% ( 0-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 21.02%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 | 
| 5 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 14 | 
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 | 
| 8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 8 | 
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 6 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
